Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LRC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-06-29 0.047824 0.056348 0.065886 0.077342 0.090721 0.105845 0.124234
2025-07-06 0.033481 0.044129 0.057373 0.075022 0.097892 0.126496 0.164962
2025-07-13 0.026647 0.038292 0.054001 0.076664 0.108446 0.151351 0.213590
2025-07-20 0.021815 0.033681 0.050798 0.077165 0.116619 0.173307 0.260773
2025-07-27 0.018371 0.030191 0.048266 0.077731 0.124353 0.195025 0.309980
2025-08-03 0.015893 0.027622 0.046515 0.078909 0.132773 0.218388 0.364294
2025-08-10 0.014181 0.025934 0.045785 0.081414 0.143374 0.246152 0.428805
2025-08-17 0.011918 0.022882 0.042253 0.078565 0.144454 0.258247 0.468627
2025-08-24 0.010449 0.020989 0.040404 0.078292 0.149789 0.277935 0.523607
2025-08-31 0.009120 0.019125 0.038302 0.077183 0.153328 0.294676 0.575090
2025-09-07 0.008316 0.018154 0.037723 0.078832 0.162163 0.321956 0.649152
2025-09-14 0.007370 0.016733 0.036041 0.078028 0.166033 0.340180 0.707845
2025-09-21 0.006426 0.015180 0.033905 0.076073 0.167482 0.354177 0.760628
2025-09-28 0.005563 0.013669 0.031639 0.073517 0.167345 0.364999 0.808404
2025-10-05 0.005130 0.013072 0.031277 0.075073 0.176239 0.395521 0.901233
2025-10-12 0.004673 0.012340 0.030497 0.075554 0.182777 0.421732 0.987815
2025-10-19 0.004273 0.011683 0.029794 0.076106 0.189526 0.449140 1.080259
2025-10-26 0.003953 0.011174 0.029370 0.077259 0.197824 0.480961 1.186494
2025-11-02 0.003732 0.010891 0.029465 0.079713 0.209583 0.522096 1.319334
2025-11-09 0.003281 0.009904 0.027613 0.076922 0.207901 0.531179 1.376258
2025-11-16 0.002995 0.009331 0.026769 0.076655 0.212626 0.556324 1.475605
2025-11-23 0.002707 0.008703 0.025680 0.075569 0.215051 0.576008 1.563473
2025-11-30 0.002549 0.008440 0.025570 0.077184 0.224953 0.615807 1.707717